"ah Madamswer, you’re so hung up on projections and forecasts...

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    "ah Madamswer, you’re so hung up on projections and forecasts when everyone knows that forecasting is notoriously difficult - particularly about the future."

    Yes, you've reinforced the very point that I'm making.


    "that said, if you want to see how accurate climate modelling is, just do some backcasting. Find the projections by credible agencies or individuals 30 or 40 years ago and see how accurate they’ve been. How they panned out."

    Any chance you can provide relevant links to independent studies that have conducted scientifically-sound audits of the forecast accuracy of a sufficiently representative sample of climate forecasters?

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