SDL 0.00% 0.6¢ sundance resources limited

Some facts, page-55

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    For those who appreciate quality research:
    • "It is clear that the steel industry has, for the time being, reached the end of a major growth cycle which was based on the rapid economic development in China.” Hans Jurgen Kerkhoff, chairman of the World Steel Association’s economics committee.
    • China’s top 100 steel companies lost $3.1 billion over January-August this year – Baosteel Research Dept
    Steel production down and falling. Iron ore demand flat and weakening.
    Iron Ore "Battle Royal" still to come. The race to the bottom:

    • 75-80 million additional tons from Aus, Brazil in CY15 – similar next year?
    • Australia-Brazil now accounts for 85% of Chinese imports (75% last year)
    • Chinese supply hanging on. ‘Non-traditional’ suppliers falling away (less than 10%)
    • New supply ‘story’ moving from Australia to Brazil? Vale’s S11D
    • Emergence of (delayed…) Roy Hill
    • Where will all the new tons go? (market share pie not getting bigger)
    There is no room for new tons from West Africa.
    Much more importantly there is no need for these tons nor any demand.
    Anyone backing SDL is not only flogging a dead horse they are saddling it up and brushing its coat and refusing to look at the very obvious truth: the horse is DEAD!


    For those holding SDL in hope of recovery et me ask you this:
    A positive finance announcement leads you where exactly? Closer to a loss making capital investment decision. Sub US$50 iron ore and SDL does not make any money and certainly not enough to repay finance costs let alone equity.
 
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