I have been a s/h this time for about 2 months, I have been a s/h before and done money, I bought back in on the revised offer and thought I can pick my losses up and make some, but now I doubt it very muck.
I have been watcthing with interest the debating going on here and have come to the conclusion I would take the offer of 45 Cents.
When the revised offer was made, I thought to myself here goes the chinese again they are going to do to SDL what they done to linc energy about five to six years ago and it is looking more like it every day, but I did buy, with this delay I smell a bigger rat, they will either make another revised offer down or pull out and make us s/hs suffer and come back in at another time later and make a even smaller offer, the reasons for my belief are posted below.
Sovereign Risk
With African countries taking a bigger slice of all resources in their countries. Examples, Ghana 50%, Mali 49%, Burkina Faso 38%, Guinea 60%, Cote d,ivoire 38%, Liberia 42%, Senegal47%, Sierra Leone 52%, Now these figures are made up of Taxes, Duties, Royalties, and any take from equity ownership, the above works out at an average of 47%, Now with the Democratic Republic of Congo recently enacting Extra Taxes & Royalties, I am not sure what these rates are, all I can say they will concern investment decisions, wts I wait in anticipation of Cameroon joining the party, its happening in asia Sth America and its going to happen everywhere, So what I am saying is the Chinese have had second thou and are preparing a lower offer for the reasons stated above, if the taxes are too big, then it would be better and cheaper to just import the ore from the big three.
Just my thoughts, and by the way there will not be another bidder, so with that said, I am selling out at another loss, and its not nice, but better still having some cash now than a lot less down the track.
Goodluck to you all. Cheers. Simmo.
SDL Price at posting:
33.0¢ Sentiment: Sell Disclosure: Held