PCL 0.00% 2.3¢ pancontinental energy nl

Had some great luck with these two. I've got a work conflict...

  1. 492 Posts.
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    Had some great luck with these two.
    I've got a work conflict now, so cannot buy back in. But my view is:
    1. Great asset, that I would like to be exposed to
    2. I worry that being near Kudu it may be gas rather than oil, which would be worthless given cost to extract and get to market
    3. Chance of success, I guess around 25%, and would see it trading at around USD1-2 per barrel, so it's 250m barrels worth about USD250m+, which probability weighted for success gets you to around a 0.1 cents fair floor price.
    4. I expect a major will stump up USD100m or less for 50%, leaving PCL's stake worth around USD..50m, e.g. about 0.1 cents per share. Although I would usually value a major getting in at 1.5x the implied price, but we have no deal yet.

    So if I were considering to get back in, I would be looking at 0.6 cents.
 
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22 7483825 2.2¢
 

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Price($) Vol. No.
2.3¢ 377193 2
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Last trade - 16.10pm 03/05/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
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