SNT 5.00% 4.2¢ syntara limited

SP - where is it headed?, page-15

  1. 3,431 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 106
    heres my quick calcs

    shares on issue : 312M
    Cash: $60M

    Phase 2 and 3 payments: 80M - discounted 50% over 24months - I assign present value at $20M
    Regulatory filings $200M discounted by 50% over 36months - I assign present value at $30M
    No value assigned to royalty payments from drug sales - too early to include IMO

    In this scenario, I assume chesi revenues going forward will negate cash burn.

    Also, I am assigning 0 value to LOX2 JV - obviously this could be worth the same as SSAO if not more.

    Therefore,

    110M / 312 M = 35c

    Discount this another 10% for other unknowns = 32c valuation
    Last edited by primaus72: 18/05/15
 
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