DYL 17.0% $1.17 deep yellow limited

Disappointing to see no increase in spot price this week but...

  1. 239 Posts.
    Disappointing to see no increase in spot price this week but UXCs take on the market is interesting. As RBC reports:

    Ux's feature article this week focused on three events that have stirred up
    what usually is a quiet time of the year for the uranium market. Although
    the spot price has not changed - yet - in response to these events, Ux
    believes that these events are worth watching.
    • The three events are renewed flooding at Cameco's Cigar Lake project,
    India's potential entry into the uranium market, and the armed conflict
    between Russia and Georgia.
    • In Cameco's case, Ux believes the issue is not that Cigar Lake is flooded
    once again or that flooding may plague Cigar Lake again in the future;
    rather, the issue is how buyers will react to this latest incident and the
    potential for more like it.
    • While Cigar Lake is a supply-side issue, Ux believes that the market has not
    recognized the demand-side effects from India's potential entry into the
    uranium market. Quoting its own biannual market survey, Ux said that three
    times as many market participants think that the market has not priced in
    potential Indian demand. According to Ux, this issue is especially acute
    since India has been out of the market for so long that its demand profile
    and resulting effects if and when it does enter the market are unknown.
    • The third event is the conflict that has erupted between Russia and Georgia,
    and its implications for Russia's relationship with the U.S. and Europe going
    forward. In Ux's opinion, the security and stability of energy supply are
    critical, and developments such as this conflict add uncertainty and price
    volatility to the market.
    • Ux believes that what market participants think may happen as a result of
    these events, and their reactions, are just as crucial as the events themselves.
 
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