Here is another article on determining PRICE in LBO or M&A activity it focuses more on ROI after the buyout. Leveraged Buyout Analysis | Street Of Walls
I read this article and spent time thinking about ROI. Lets say they do buy Lynas for $6.00 a share about $6B after expenses Lets say investors expect a 7% ROI on their investment. Or banks want 7% interest. that is .07 X 6 B= that is 420 M a year. The best year for Lynas was 2022 when they made $557 M. NdPrO Prices were about 1000 RMB with VAT and there were no expenses associated with resent CAP X. The 4 year average including estimating 2024 at 100M (I doubt it will be this high). 2021 147M, 2022 557M, 2023 279M, 2024 100M total AUD 1083 / 4 = $270 M this profit would have only returned 4.5% on a $6.00 i a share investment.
People will say GR or some other rich person will do it. Maybe so and they may even to speculate a little on future. They are rich because of earnings on their money I am sure they would want better than 4.5 % What are the chances Of NdPrO returning to 1000 in a year or two? They will return to that and probably higher the question is not IF it is when.
BOL
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Last
$6.80 |
Change
-0.100(1.45%) |
Mkt cap ! $6.356B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$6.78 | $6.80 | $6.69 | $13.60M | 2.014M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
3 | 13933 | $6.78 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$6.80 | 1389 | 3 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 5667 | 6.780 |
2 | 6500 | 6.750 |
1 | 3000 | 6.730 |
2 | 3200 | 6.720 |
2 | 4480 | 6.700 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
6.800 | 200 | 1 |
6.820 | 383 | 1 |
6.880 | 5000 | 1 |
6.890 | 1550 | 1 |
6.900 | 23748 | 7 |
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