On the sanford site. Been very patient with this LT hold
AN OIL AND GAS EXPLORER LOOKING PROSPECTIVE IN COOPER BASIN
Sydney - Monday - December 10: (RWE Aust Business News) *******************************************************
OVERVIEW ********
The Bell Potter report on Great Artesian Oil and Gas Ltd (ASX:GOG) suggests the company is very likely to become the next Cooper Basin oil and gas producer, putting a valuation of 36c on the stock. The broking firm noted that GOG received a conditional $20 million Federal grant to assist with the development of a new efficient gas plant, which will economically remove CO2 prior to geo-sequestration. This makes cash flow from gas and gas liquids highly likely while the company has 'promising upside for oil', the report states. Great Artesian is expected to start drilling at the end of this week on its high-prospectivity oil permit, PEL 92, in South Australia's Cooper Basin. The first of two wells is just to the north of Cooper Energy/Beach Petroleum's recent Callawonga oil discovery which flowed over 5,000 barrels per day. Bell Potter's confidence in the stock led to it underwriting a one-for-five rights issue. The report contains a 'what if' model of the likely value of an oil strike in PEL 92 and a further analysis of a strike in GOG's offshore EPP 27 in the Otway Basin, SA, expected to be drilled next year. Some background information is needed to show the company's progress in recent times. A string of successful gas discoveries was made in PEL 106 during 2004-2006 and the company's focus has been on commercialising them. These include Smegsy, Middleton, Udacha, Paprika, Rossco and Cadenza. Middleton tested at 11.8 million cubic feet per day (mmcfd) and Smegsy flowed at 5mmcfd, two of the better tests from the program. The gas was liquids rich, with about 30 barrels/mmcf of condensate and a similar amount of LPG. On the negative side, the CO2 content of the gas is up to 35 per cent, which needs to be managed. Aggregate 2P reserves from these discoveries amount to 17PJ of gas and about 1mb of liquids. GOG's equity interests vary from 37.5 to 75 per cent but the bulk of the reserves are held 50 per cent. GOG is pursuing two different options to commercialise these reserves. The first option is to sell the gas through Santos's Moomba plant facilities for a tolling fee, which is estimated to be in the $2/GJ region. This would be the simplest and least demanding capital cost alternative but the tolling fee represents a high operating cost. The second option would require the joint venture to build its own gas plant with 20mmcfd capacity and a feasibility study with Cool Energy has been undertaken. A capital cost of $100 million has been estimated, incorporating new technology that captures the CO2 in a cost-efficient manner.
SHARE PRICE MOVEMENTS *********************
Shares of Great Artesian Oil and Gas sold steady at 25c on Friday. Rolling high for the year is 34.2c and low 19c. The company has 153.2 million shares on issue with a market cap of $38.3 million. Commercialisation of existing gas discoveries is progressing. Six existing gas discoveries in PEL106 add up to 17PJ Proven & Probable (2P) reserves, and possible (3P) reserves of 50PJ. Individually, the gas discoveries are relatively small, but have good liquids content, as well as high CO2. The company is progressing commercialisation by either building a new efficient gas plant with partners Beach Petroleum (ASX:BPT) and Cool Energy or by selling the gas to major Cooper basin operator Santos (ASX:STO). The Bell Potter analysis suggests the condensate and LPG content is the most valuable part of these discoveries. Further drilling is planned in 2008, following the recent completion of an extensive $8 million 3D seismic program.
BACKGROUND **********
Great Artesian has a strategic spread of petroleum exploration acreage in Australia's most prolific onshore oil and gas province, the Cooper-Eromanga Basin (Cooper Basin), as well as prime offshore areas in the Otway Basin and Gippsland Basin. The company joined the Australian Stock Exchange list on August 5, 2003. Great Artesian is an upstream petroleum company formed to explore and develop the conventional petroleum potential of a number of highly prospective areas specifically selected because of their potential to either yield significant discoveries and early cash flow or provide potential for high impact, "company maker" discoveries. This mix is designed to enable Great Artesian to become, in the short term, a significant and sustainable, medium-size player in Australia's oil and gas industry. Great Artesian currently holds working interests in its own right in the following areas: * PELs 91, 106 and 107 - Cooper Basin, SA; * ATPs 539 and 549 (West and Cypress Blocks) - Cooper Basin, Qld; * ATP 552 - Bowen-Surat Basin, Qld; * EPP 27 - Offshore Otway Basin, SA; and * VIC/P63, VIC/P64 and T/46 - Gippsland Basin, Bass Strait. Growth Strategy is based on organic growth by acquiring additional acreage. The company develops cash flow from production. To achieve its goal of becoming a medium-size player in the Australian oil and gas industry, the company's management will complement its high equity in low-risk interests with low-exposure participation in potentially high-impact areas with large up-side potential, such as its interests in EPP 27 offshore Otway Basin and the Gippsland Basin. Great Artesian's well-positioned Cooper Basin permits, coupled with company-maker offshore oil areas, are its key strength. Early entry enabled farmouts to fund drilling, while maintaining high equity in the areas. Great Artesian's growth strategy includes acquisition of 'brownfields' areas and use of modern technology to provide an exploration edge. The exploration focus on 'brownfields' areas reduces geological risk and provides access to reduce exploration costs and production can be fast-tracked. Oil production from the Kiana-1 well in PEL 107 provides modest production but important cashflow. The company is now examining production options for several gas discoveries in PEL 106 (Middleton-1, Udacha-1, Rossco-1, Paranta-1 and Cadenza-1). Great Artesian Oil and Gas is busy with exploration activities in its onshore areas. Offshore, a farmin by Oilex, Videocom and Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation has carried out a seismic survey and is preparing to drill one well in the Otway Basin in 2008. ENDS
GOG Price at posting:
0.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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