strategic viewpoint on IVC, page-126

Did some more looking...

Deputy Chief Medical Officer Paul Kelly said that the number of infections would range between 20 per cent to 60 per cent of the population. "This is an infectious disease," Professor Kelly said in Canberra. "The more we can do to separate people and stop the disease spreading, the better. The death rate is around 1 per cent. You can do the maths."

Under the best case scenario of a 20 per cent infection rate, about 50,000 people out of 5 million infected with COVID-19 would die. A moderate scenario of 10 million infections – 40 per cent of the population – would mean 100,000 dead.In a worst case scenario, 15 million people would get the coronavirus and 150,000 would die. - Sydney Morning Herald


Looking at the above, the "best case" figures of 20% infection rate, it would increase the deaths this year from ~150k to ~200k. Worst case would double the deaths this year from ~150k to ~300k. Pretty scary figures if they play out.