BBG 0.00% $1.05 billabong international limited

strong aussie $ hurts bbg profits, page-3

  1. 14,167 Posts.
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    mike
    big picture..the us has a massive debt as result of bush's great capacity to stuff things up. that idiot reduced taxes when he needed money to fund a war
    what a goose!!
    how could the yanks elect such dunderheads
    my feeling is that the aud will reach parity with the usd by xmas
    so if you think that the 40% of its income comes mainly from the us,then bbg probably is facing headwinds
    consensus forecasts are about 2% 3 years down the track
    long term I have feeling that he us dollar will reach parity by xmas
    2011 eps = .69
    40% of income comes from us means .28
    that will mean a decline of 17% max
    so a decline in earnings to .23 from the us
    all up total earnings will have fallen from .69 to .64
    probably a decline of about 2% per year over 3 years
    my feeling bbg will not go forward nor will it go back
    2% forecast forward 2% back
    I was using bbg as collateral for a margin loan
    i have subsequently paid off the loan and only hold a small package
    as a short I reckon it is a dud like a rat on wheel
    going absolutely nowhere fast
    we shall see


 
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