2 particular cases, among small caps : Australian Vintage Group...

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    2 particular cases, among small caps : Australian Vintage Group (AVG) and Enero (EGG).

    Even if they are in 2 different sectors (wine makers and communication), these 2 stocks have several elements in common :
    - they are really cheap : PE around 10 and free cash flow yield over 10 %,
    - both just published good FY 21 results,
    - they seem to have a growth profile :
    . thanks to OB Media for Enero (structural growth for OB Media, which offsets the cyclical nature of Enero other businesses)
    . thanks to its main brands, extension into export markets and development of no alcohol wine for AVG.

    I really struggle to understand why both stocks do not benefit from a re-rating.
    Perhaps, it is just due to the fact that they are not in a very hot sector.
    Or, it is just a consolidation, after a recent strong performance for both shares (+ 52 % on 1 year for AVG and + 94 % on 1 year for EGG).

    Of course, I may miss one of element which explain why the market is so cautious.
    In the case of Enero, it is true that there has been a lot of changes recently among its shareholders and some may not have finished to sell. Their main shareholder, in particular, has just sold a significant part of its ownership and may want to sell more.
    In AVG's case, the market seems to discount a 0 growth scenario which looks particularly pessimistic as the company has almost 0 exposure to China. Perhaps the market discounts a scenario where the growth in the UK is not sustainable after the end of the lockdown. But, so far, they have no slowdown for their sales in the UK.
    Last edited by saintex: 16/09/21
 
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