AAH arana therapeutics limited

sum of parts aranas valuation imho

  1. 101 Posts.
    Cash $180m
    Debt $ 0m

    Royalities $ 80m

    Sub Total $ 260m

    Pipeline Value assumption at some time in the future.
    ART 621 $164m $219m
    PMX53 $ 68m $ 84m
    PMX-AMD $ 56m $103m
    ART101 $ 21m $ 27m
    ART104 $ 21m $ 33m
    ART010 $ 19m $ 27m
    ART150 $ 5m $ 7m
    ART140 $ 5m $ 8m
    ART160 $ 5m $ 5m
    Sub Total $444m Low End
    Sub Total $593m High end

    Platforms Technology Value assumption
    Superhumanisation $ 20m
    Synhumanistaion $ 20m
    EvoGene $ 20m
    Sub Total $60m

    Lucrative Partnership Deals Value assumption
    Aveo 1st Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m
    Aveo 2nd Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m
    Aveo 3rd Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m
    Aveo 4th Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m
    Aveo 5th Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m

    Vengenics 1 Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m

    CSL Limited 1st Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m
    CSL Limited 2nd Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m

    GSK 1st Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m
    GSK 2nd Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m
    GSK 3rd Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m

    Sub Total $22m Milestones
    Sub Total $220m Royalities


    So a sum of parts calculation could look something like this.

    Low End High End
    Cash $180m $180m
    Royalities $ 80m $ 80m
    Grants $ 7m $ 7m
    PipeLine $364m $513m
    Platforms $ 60m $ 60m
    Partnerships $242m $242m

    Total $ 933m $1082m


    COMPARE THE TWO

    ARANA – market cap today is $ 244 Million
    Arana has 7 products in development
    1 in the clinic.
    1 in collaboration with Kyowa.
    Arana has 11 in Partnership deals with Milestone and royalties expected on sales.
    Arana has 3 technology platforms.

    DOMANTIS – Sold for GBP 230 Million this equates to A$575 Million
    Domantis had 5 products in development
    None in the Clinic.
    9 in partnership deals.
    And 1 technology platform, this I could be wrong on.

    Well is Arana undervalued,, anyone.
 
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