AAH arana therapeutics limited

Well at the very least Sun Hung Kai and Mr Yap's Rockwell...

  1. 101 Posts.
    Well at the very least Sun Hung Kai and Mr Yap's Rockwell holdings know the value.
    I expect to also see a SS Notice from Sun Hung Kai - they are increasing their holdings as well.

    Sun Hung Kai has Lincoln Chee on the board

    I suspect we wont see a move to have a new Director appointed from Mr Yap till Mr Yap has 19+ %, Obviously less than 20%.

    The more he buys at prices around the $1.00 - 1.10 mark the better for him.
    Also when he has say 48 Million shares you must remember their is no way out, his Modus-Operandi would be to wait for the buy out, unless he has no good intentions and wants to buy in order to sell its assets himself with the help of others.

    FastenyourSeatbelt, not all Asian names are Chinese mate, some are also
    Malaysian.....................Ect

    Cash $180m
    Debt $ 0m

    Royalities $ 80m

    Sub Total $ 260m

    Pipeline Value assumption at some time in the future.
    ART 621 $164m $219m
    PMX53 $ 68m $ 84m
    PMX-AMD $ 56m $103m
    ART101 $ 21m $ 27m
    ART104 $ 21m $ 33m
    ART010 $ 19m $ 27m
    ART150 $ 5m $ 7m
    ART140 $ 5m $ 8m
    ART160 $ 5m $ 5m
    Sub Total $444m Low End
    Sub Total $593m High end

    Platforms Technology Value assumption
    Superhumanisation $ 20m
    Synhumanistaion $ 20m
    EvoGene $ 20m
    Sub Total $60m

    Lucrative Partnership Deals Value assumption
    Aveo 1st Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m
    Aveo 2nd Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m
    Aveo 3rd Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m
    Aveo 4th Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m
    Aveo 5th Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m

    Vengenics 1 Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m

    CSL Limited 1st Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m
    CSL Limited 2nd Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m

    GSK 1st Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m
    GSK 2nd Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m
    GSK 3rd Product Milestones $2m Royalities @ 4% $20m

    Sub Total $22m Milestones
    Sub Total $220m Royalities


    So a sum of parts calculation could look something like this.

    Low End High End
    Cash $180m $180m
    Royalities $ 80m $ 80m
    Grants $ 7m $ 7m
    PipeLine $364m $513m
    Platforms $ 60m $ 60m
    Partnerships $242m $242m

    Total $ 933m $1082m


    COMPARE THE TWO

    ARANA – market cap today is $ 244 Million
    Arana has 7 products in development
    1 in the clinic.
    1 in collaboration with Kyowa.
    Arana has 11 in Partnership deals with Milestone and royalties expected on sales.
    Arana has 3 technology platforms.

    DOMANTIS – Sold for GBP 230 Million this equates to A$575 Million
    Domantis had 5 products in development
    None in the Clinic.
    9 in partnership deals.
    And 1 technology platform, this I could be wrong on.

    Well is Arana undervalued,, anyone
 
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