For better transparency, here you go TTC. Heres my estimates of Jewel production by month. Estimates are based on gridlines from the production curves from the quarterly announcements and I have estimated NGL (i have assumed consistent Gas vs NGL). Actuals are from published numbers, some of my intra-quarter periods might be out, but they all come out in the wash once the green actual production is known.
Note steep initial decline (as you mentioned) and the decline is continuing (as expected) but at much slower rate. The key however is the high initial rates allow the BRK to quickly recoup drilling and completion costs and recycle those funds into additional wells.
Oil (Bbl) Gas (MCF) Oil Gas (shrunk) NGL 1 Est 1/09/2021 1,000 0 1/09/2021 1,000 0 0 2 Est 1/10/2021 22,000 45,000 1/10/2021 21,000 32,096 4,368 3 Est 1/11/2021 48,500 150,000 1/11/2021 26,500 74,890 10,191 4 Est 1/12/2021 72,000 270,000 1/12/2021 23,500 85,588 11,647 5 Act 1/01/2022 88,070 390,000 1/01/2022 16,070 85,588 11,647 6 Est 1/02/2022 102,000 500,000 1/02/2022 13,930 78,456 10,676 7 Est 1/03/2022 112,000 590,000 1/03/2022 10,000 64,191 8,735 8 Act 1/04/2022 120,000 680,000 1/04/2022 8,000 64,191 8,735
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