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Gillysrooms

10,438 Posts.

142

12/06/18

10:59

Post #: 33646741
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Originally posted by Westwind ↑

Hmmmm. A hope in Haddes?

Well just for the hell of it, on a slow day, what might back of the envelope extrapolation of existing figures tell us. Website 4-traders goes out 3 years (which is probably further than you would normally like to extrapolate).

But here goes - 12 years out to 2030.

It looks like the forecast cost of running the business in FY 18/19/20 is $60m/69m/78m (based on Sales less EBT) so assume 15% increase pa from 2020, gives forecast cost of running the business of around $320m in 2030.

Revenue FY18/19/20 is $53.9m/69.8m/87.7m, so assume 27% increase pa, giving $957m in 2030

So EBT in 2030 would be $957m less $320m giving $640m. If company tax remains at 30%, NPAT would be $448m. If the number of shares remains constant (400m) and options (25m) are converted, shares would be 425m, giving eps of $1.05 - still with me??

At a P/E of say 30, shares would be $31.50. The analysis is probably not worth the paper it is written on, but don't hold your breath for $50!

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Your costs of running business are definitely out of the park mate. Go back to drawing board and come back with better numbers thx lol

NEA Price at posting: $1.08 Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held
2 Upvote

0 Great analysis

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