Supressas.ru quoted a retired colonel from Russian Intelligence who said that Ukraine's total losses (dead and wounded) were 800,000. He said that number is supported by the 9 mobilizations Ukraine has conducted. You don't conduct a national mobilization if have 500,000 to 1 million soldiers under arms and lose 25,000. You do if you lose 100,000 or more. Do that 9 times and you've lost 900.000 soldiers.
I believe the 257,000 number of dead that Zaluzhny reportedly gave to Milley. That number is the only one from inside people who know. And if Ukraine incurs 2 wounded for every dead, then the 800,000 casualty number sounds about right. That a big number. But remember, 90% of Russian casualties are from artillery strikes. And Russia is firing off 10x as much artillery as Ukraine. So if you take the 20,000 Russian death toll and multiply it by 10, you again get to that 200,000 number. Probably 257,000 once you figure in Russia's drone superiority.
Von Der Lying "let slip" a 100,000 number. I really doubt that was a slip of the tongue. It was intentional, to lower the real Ukrainian body count which had become an issue at that point. She knew the real count was much higher.
One more thing to look at is the current mobilization of juveniles and women. You don't do that unless you've lost most of your regular adult soldiers. Certainly you don't do that if you hundreds of thousands of men under arms and lose only 100,000. And yet I just looked at a video of a busload of juveniles in uniform headed to the front. My God, they couldn't have been more than 16 years old (with a lot of girls too). Another video shows someone firing a mortar, and when he turns toward the camera it's clear he's no older than 16.
So I think Ukrainian casualties are far beyond what we're being led to believe by the EU and Ukraine.
Posted by: Kellen Cramer | Feb 19 2023 0:18 utc | 100
