Polaris storage Reuters : In sub-forum held on January 12, 2018, chairman of the National Network of Electric Vehicle Services Ltd. Jiang Bing speech, said the electric car will change the world again. Market forecast for future development of new energy sources to 2022 By 2022, Jiang Bing proposed the following four points, which he called "four gray rhinos." Gray rhinoceros one: electric car to achieve "oil and electricity parity"
1, according to the composition of the estimated cost of electric vehicles, power battery costs dropped to 100 US dollars / kWh, the electric car will be the purchase price of traditional fuel trucks.
2, power lithium battery system cost is the "oil price" key.
3, each doubling of total shipments, solar cell prices reduced by about 20%.
4, according to the power lithium battery shipments forecast, by 2023, the price of power batteries will drop to 0.6-0.7 / watt hours, about 100 US dollars / kWh, the electric car will achieve absolute "oil and electricity parity." Gray Rhino II: Photovoltaic power generation will become the cheapest energy
1, New energy such as solar power generation is intermittent and fluctuating, while the electric car is charged with strong flexibility and controllability, which can well adapt to consume clean energy and realize new energy vehicles to charge new energy sources.
2. According to the statistics of China PV Industry Association, from 2007 to 2017, the market prices of PV modules and inverters decreased by about 92% respectively.
3, in fact, according to the current trend, 2022 photovoltaic electricity costs can be reduced to 0.4 / kWh. Gray rhinoceros three: distributed energy storage to achieve commercial applications
1, with the progress of energy storage technology, the decline in battery costs and the improvement of the electricity market, distributed energy storage is expected to be commercialized around 2022. Electric car battery is the lowest cost energy storage device . Gray rhinoceros IV: 5G network deployment will be basically completed
1,5G is the final constraint on the development of electric vehicles, which will promote the electric car to complete the gorgeous leap from "Nokia" to "Apple".
2,5G network with ultra-high speed, downlink rate of more than 20Gbps, uplink rate of more than 10Gbps. Network delay 1ms, but also with 100 million connections / sq km connection density, hundreds of billions of connections.
He pointed out that for the future of energy, the underlying clean-up, distributed, storage, Internet of Things, big data are all factors to be considered. Electric vehicle is an important basic unit in the future energy system. Charging pile is an important basic port and also a coupler and a key hardware for connecting two trillion market of new energy and electric vehicles.
He said that by 2030, the number of electric vehicles will reach 100 million and the power of vehicle-mounted power batteries will exceed 1 billion kilowatts, equivalent to 50 Three Gorges hydropower stations. In 2040, the number of electric vehicles will reach 200 million. The power of vehicle- Will be more than 2 billion kilowatts, equivalent to 100 Three Gorges Power Station. If we consider retired power battery, 2030 power battery power will increase 200 million kilowatts.
There is no suspense for turning the power of cars and more and more mobile machinery from fuel to electricity. If combined with renewable energy, it could benefit society to an unimaginable extent. This is a huge system project that affects the whole world and affects the future. At present, everything is still at a starting point, and we need to take precautions to make the top-level design a step forward.
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