Hey Mate , I'm not here to judge or make comments on your trading strategies , nor am I here to suggest any to you or anyone else.
I'm only stating that your numbers are just that .........only numbers , and the comments are in the main unsupported by any significant fundamental analysis of those individual companies as you've highlighted above.
As well as that , and if I was to be more critical , your comments are almost outdated and not in step with the reality of the movements or alleged trades. So I guess it's your word I guess up against whether it is even practicable for someone to even attempt to replicate. So from that perspective it's almost misleading and is suggesting a ' False ' ability to particpate in these gains and on what basis ( ie what research ) it was decided upon. And I could see how ' New ' investors might fall into this ' Allure ' that they could also follow you and achieve these results.
And I'll give you an example by sticking firstly to the TWO companies I mentioned before. Since ' pre Goldman's ' ALY has put on over 200% and since 15th Sept around 43% yet your summary list does not indicate these correct gains , and your comments about potentially buying them up is now outdated with the opportunity for the trade largely gone passed now that the Capital raise is on the cards. If it continues to push upwards due to micro market sentiments which is what I'm suggesting to be more aware of in terms of ' Trends ' , the real question now becomes at what price would you entertain the possible trades from here. And just so we're clear , I'm not asking for an answer from you as I'm simply pointing out how your information as it is stated is largely irrelevant.
Similarly on WML where back in middle of March when it was 1.7 - 1.8 cents and as you point out as ' No opportunity ' in your file note , it reached 3.2 cents on around 21st April and just before Goldman's report and then retraced all the way to 1.4 cents ( post Goldman's ) where the trade and accumulation opportunities for a ' Quality ' lithium play began again.....and now resulting in the 53 odd percentage gain in just one day of Friday. And there will be more as these plays resume and recapture their former trends before Goldman's and the general markets inflicted their damage at that time.
I see you mention CRR as well for ' The Trade ' from 6 to 8 cents , but really the pick-up was post Goldman's where you could get it in the low 4's and play it right up to the recent highs of mid 8 cent levels . My original trade in this stock was at 5.5 cents to 14...so anything below that given the prevailing market conditions was always going to be spot on if you'd done the early research on that stock and really where the value ' Trade ' had always been on that stock. So my point here is that you , I and everyone else look at ' Historical ' technical trends in indices , but we also need to look at these for individual plays based on the research ( both tech & fundamental ) on individual companies as well. And Co's like CRR , WML , ALY & QXR's and the like were ALWAYS going to follow and get back to former uptrend post Goldman's . Now it's not going to happen for ALL of them , and its not going to happen all at the same rates. But the quality ones with the quality management and the quality projects will
While we're on QXR ......you could have easily on any given day picked up as many as you like of this stock sub 3.0 cents ' Post Goldman's ' and made a killing from late September when it was still only at 3.2 - 3.3 cents - and yet you state it's looking average and got out due to better opportunities elsewhere. What better opportunities that the one right in front of you if you've done your research and understand where the Market is at with respects to some of these previously rising ' market darling future lithium plays.
I know you have ' looking Good ' on LRS which is another one - But I was into LRS ' pre Goldman's' at below 3.0 cents where it never even got back to those levels after running to a high of almost 23 cents. And the gains are staggering and the type of gains where you never really needed to look back and worry at all during this ENTIRE market turmoil.
So there is ' Trading ' as you say , and there is ' Investing ' with knowledge and backing yourself into the ' Good ' small stocks with emerging stories and strongly supported SP's ......and before they ' Run ' . That is the key.
Now , the difference with me is that I don't have an agenda in telling you where and at what price I take my trades . And the reason for this is that this is starting to get into very dangerous ' advice ' territory . Especially when your data points and comments around a stock can appear or are in fact outdated. In other words , its dicey territory and probably why other posters on here are beginning to question the motives behind posting this sort of information.
And I'm not having a go at you mate. I applaud you for your efforts and your equally ' Long ' posts . And i was simply putting another view out there in so far as your comments regarding the economists getting the ' consensus ' estimates wrong , and that you or I or anyone else on Hot Copper are in some way smarter that all of them. We work with what we have is my main point in that first post , and that markets follow trends and cycles year after year which is what you in fact say.
In fact your forward outlook for the markets is no more than a historical behavior template we have seen so often year after year in the months of October until early January each year.
The bottom is in though in my mind on the broader indices . Its just a question as to how much more volatility will get wrapped around the daily or weekly movements.
Short of a full scale war in Europe , a blow out in energy cost off the back of the coldest winter in European history , or Chines play for Taiwan ....or even an asteroid striking earth or an even a more virulent transmissible and deathly pandemic ....... I don't think it will get too much more worse than what we have already endured in the markets to date.
And even allowing for the obvious facts that we haven't seen inflationary peaks like this since the 70's , nor have we seen how markets generally behave following a global pandemic with work practices changing drastically, supply chains and strained global trading relationships , war in Europe , counter intuitive labor force demands , massive shifts in renewable energy demand , green energy projects and the shifts to electrification of transport and grid and the capital expenditures that go with all of that. I think it is these very ' Bad ' things which will actually shift the productivity and discovery goal posts which will in turn keep the profitability and growth moving forward. Hell even Elon is talking about revisiting his previous ' Twitter ' play.
So while the participants are the same , the landscape is very different - But does that mean we will see the same market seasonal / cyclical volatility's we have come to know or recognize from now until January or February 2023.
I personally don't reckon so. And so I have a different set of idea's and a very different trading and investment strategy than yourself. But I reckon that is dangerous to share that sort of ' Directional ' or subtle promoting on Hot Copper. And again ...especially when what you have is very limited on the knowledge side of the stock , and the comments are outdated. It's dangerous really.
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