I'd value HUM in a different way.
I'm looking at the cost decline curves and then if revenues stay flat at 0% and then CAGR rev declines of 5%. This is to be safe. This becomes a hypothesis any news suggesting otherwise gives it a unidirectional move.
The safest and lowest multiple number to use is 9.4,[After all the maths and risk multiple factored in plus ignore cash accumulation] and then multiply that by upcoming FCF. This might sound ridiculous but the play on HUM is not growth, but a valuation play.
My minimum price target is $1.51 - $1.61. IT IS A MINIMUM PRICE TARGET.
Under favorable scenarios, it is significantly higher.
I have looked at least 10-15 different scenarios. They all say the same thing.
A private equity can easily take them out at this stage.
What I'm also fairly confident is management might declare a dividend and this alone will put the share price up significantly higher.
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I'd value HUM in a different way. I'm looking at the cost...
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Last
40.5¢ |
Change
0.005(1.25%) |
Mkt cap ! $199.0M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
40.5¢ | 40.5¢ | 40.0¢ | $176.0K | 439.3K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
6 | 440959 | 40.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
40.5¢ | 143034 | 4 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
6 | 440959 | 0.400 |
7 | 73232 | 0.395 |
13 | 165905 | 0.390 |
3 | 9253 | 0.385 |
3 | 12680 | 0.380 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.405 | 4780 | 2 |
0.410 | 115762 | 8 |
0.420 | 51000 | 2 |
0.425 | 51423 | 3 |
0.430 | 131369 | 9 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 28/06/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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