Hi C420
I was only looking at the next 6 months, I always like to be conservative in my projections, better under promise and over deliver.
But if I take a longer term view the following is all possible.
Talga Annual Anode Production Projections 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028-30 Post 2030 Ore Mined 100000 250000 500000 1250000 2500000 5000000 Graphite Content 24% 24000 60000 120000 300000 600000 1200000 Anode Produced (Recovery Rate) 90% 21600 54000 108000 270000 540000 1080000 Ave Sale Price US$ $11,000 $237,600,000 $594,000,000 $1,188,000,000 $2,970,000,000 $5,940,000,000 $11,880,000,000 Production Costs US$ $2,400 $51,840,000 $129,600,000 $259,200,000 $648,000,000 $1,296,000,000 $2,592,000,000 Gross Profit US$ $185,760,000 $464,400,000 $928,800,000 $2,322,000,000 $4,644,000,000 $9,288,000,000 Admin & Overheads US$ $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 Net EBITDA Profit US$ $175,760,000 $449,400,000 $908,800,000 $2,292,000,000 $4,604,000,000 $9,238,000,000 Less Swedish Corp Tax Rate 20.6% $139,553,440 $356,823,600 $721,587,200 $1,819,848,000 $3,655,576,000 $7,334,972,000 Less Royalties 3.2% $135,087,730 $345,405,245 $698,496,410 $1,761,612,864 $3,538,597,568 $7,100,252,896 PE 15 $2,026,315,949 $5,181,078,672 $10,477,446,144 $26,424,192,960 $53,078,963,520 $106,503,793,440 SOI * 350000000 350000000 400000000 400000000 400000000 400000000 Share Price US$ $5.79 $14.80 $26.19 $66.06 $132.70 $266.26 Share Price A$ $0.75 $7.72 $19.74 $34.92 $88.08 $176.93 $355.01 Market Cap A$ $2,701,754,598 $6,908,104,896 $13,969,928,192 $35,232,257,280 $70,771,951,360 $142,005,057,920 * Includes ~15% Dilutioin (via Equity Stakes & Capital Raising) for initial Capex of 19t Plant. Assume 100t and Further Plant Expansions to be Financed by ~15% Dilution (via Equity Stakes & Capital Raising) and Additional Borrowings Funded from Cashflow.
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