LYC 0.77% $6.56 lynas rare earths limited

talkie newton joins board, page-5

  1. 1,048 Posts.
    TYC
    upside:
    the asset is there, the processes and infrastructure are being built including in china, the board is impeccable, it is not just the organization of a company that is going on here, it is the organization of a whole industry
    at a certain point in time (overseas land purchases approvals construction politics always take longer than projected) this company will imho be the leading company in the world in its field

    downside:(1) as tensions increase between china and usa these materials will be seen as strategic and exports of raw materials may be curbed (imo risk estimate: 15%)
    (2) the fuel to move the basic 'earth' will be considerably more than first estimated and since it is a game of percentages where yield is fixed, final product price flexibility must be available to contracts

    best outcome:
    prices for the rare earths rise as they become more demanded (some are wanted more than others and it is a basket of elements) and exports between china and usa (and allies) remain unmolested

    cheers
    hitched

    our reasons are not prophets
    when oft our fancies are
 
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