TPD 0.00% 21.0¢ talon energy ltd

Talon Today, page-7

  1. 748 Posts.
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    So for Walyering, if all goes well.

    Lets compare Beach, 7,45 PE ratio. I am a total fan of this stock but but we will not achieve that as:
    - Beach is a $3.7 bil market cap stock,
    - All our profit is going to be reinvested into development = greater risk and lower PE.

    So lets assume a 5 x PE.

    Walyering should deliver (and there is still risk) say $22mil profit per year for between 5 to 10 years. Lets assume for discounting and risk a 4 x multiple.

    That means on a conservative basis $90Mil cap or in rough numbers 21c per share

    Then Mongolia, then condor on top.

    Less discount for future capital raises risk and dilution (this model is more efficient).

    So what is holding us back ?? Others thoughts ??

    My personal view, I am expecting a price spike after an announcement this week. I love this stock, then is sell time and buy back in a week later say 3 to 4 cents lower. Other thoughts ??
 
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