WHC 3.71% $6.99 whitehaven coal limited

Interesting to look at the Yal result compared to WHC.On my...

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    Interesting to look at the Yal result compared to WHC.

    On my numbers, WHC should generate about $2bil of operating cashflow, which is pretty close to YAL. Give or take 10% either way depending on Met prices and Thermal (Lets call it close to even).

    Yal has $1.5bil cash which gives it a market cap around $7.7bil adjusted (EV).

    WHC has no cash right now, but that could change with the sell down. Debt of $1.7bil Plus market cap of $6.2bil = $7.9bil Enterprise value.

    Market has priced both companies pretty equally. However, if WHC does achieve a $1.2bil sale price, suddenly WHC looks extremely cheap comapred to Yal ($6.7bil EV). That would make WHC at least 15% cheaper than YAL, and you have no concerns over China ownership.

    Suspect we will see YAL pull back at least 10% today. WHC may find some new investors.
    Last edited by pastperformer: 20/08/24
 
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