WHC whitehaven coal limited

Target $18.72, page-11504

  1. 5,323 Posts.
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    I have a couple of themes regarding counter cyclical changes in commodity prices in 2025 and going against the grain
    Coal prices have been in a downward spiral for some time and I bought a small parcel some time ago as I thought we might see a bounce, but alas I was way too early and I am about 20 per cent down on my original small parcel.
    But I do believe that there is an opportunity if I get my timing correct and we do see a bounce. Why could we see a bounce, well my theory is that China will get a bit toey and opt to stimulate their economy during early to mid 2025 and expect alot will focus on Steel production, so a bounce in Met coal and then a subsequent bounce in all coal prices. Then when this happens, WHC with their recent investments in their projects will create the perfect storm for them to take advantage of any uptick in prices and subsequently become a cash printing machine. But I am not naive and believe that there is a global slowdown eventually coming, but I am banking on it to be 2nd half of 2025 and the fed may get aggressive , supported by a Trump presidency addicted to poor inflation management and stupid tariffs which could potentially see a recession later in 2025. So if my gut is correct there is an opportunity to get in on Chinese stimulus and then out prior to the US economy tanking, and not betting the whole house on it but being proportionate in the size of my stake, possibly 5 per cent of my portfolio.
    Now this will be going against the sentiment of the market and is risky, so I will be guided by firstly confirming a bottoming of coal prices and will buy small parcels to dollar cost down into a position to take advantage of this. I will put in place some stringent stop loss points to avoid doing too much damage on the downside and also put in some sell positions to bank a nice little profit if it plays out against my theory. It's all about timing and conservative control of the situation. So that's my strategy and yes I could be wrong but I sometimes like to think counter intuitive to the market. Please note this is my strategy and I do not recommend anyone follow my strategy in any way as I have made some howlers in the past and would never give financial advice, I am just thinking aloud and giving thoughts to how to manage this sort of investment on my behalf.
    Wish me luck and I might post how I go in the future.
    p.s my other play might be a rebound , albeit muted in Lithium pricing and potential of certain stocks with a natural advantage over competitors .
 
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(20min delay)
Last
$5.73
Change
-0.040(0.69%)
Mkt cap ! $4.793B
Open High Low Value Volume
$5.81 $5.93 $5.72 $38.68M 6.693M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
2 10298 $5.73
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$5.75 18353 2
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 17/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ?
WHC (ASX) Chart
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