WHC 2.16% $7.09 whitehaven coal limited

Target $18.72, page-2736

  1. 169 Posts.
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    Its always good to get an alternative opinion.
    UBS note that coal companies have huge ESG risk. Which is very very true. Therefore they assign only a 10% probability to any new mines getting approved, and therefore very little growth incorporated in their valuation model.
    They also use a 15% discount rate for WHC to take into account the ESG risk. This implies that you still get 15% return from owning the company.
    Interestingly they increased their average forecast coal price out to $US300 to the end of 2024.

    And although their target price is 9.20, you still get a 35% dividend in the next two years.
    The buyback will put a floor in the price.
    Only surprise upside from here.


 
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