WHC 2.16% $7.09 whitehaven coal limited

Target $18.72, page-4105

  1. 857 Posts.
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    From my estimates, the company will have made $1.7Bn in NPAT for the 6 months to 31 Dec. In addition, they should have $1.6Bn in Net Current Assets at 31 Dec.

    Based on the capital allocation framework, a 20% payout would result in a $0.38 FF dividend, while a 50% payout would be a $0.955 FF dividend. Even at a 50% payout, the company would have a significant cash buffer of around $760Mn to buyback shares, prior to accounting for FCF generated in the first 6 months of 2023. And that FCF, even with NEWC at $250/t is still pretty extraordinary at around $425Mn/quarter (or around $0.50/share PER QUARTER).

    Don't fall in love with a stock, but also don’t forget why you’re in it…
 
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