WHC 1.46% $7.41 whitehaven coal limited

Target $18.72, page-8680

  1. 763 Posts.
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    I'm on the side they get US$800m or less for 20% of Blackwater.

    The website referenced is just bullish on WHC and the value of Blackwater. I get that. But the $4.9b DCF for Blackwater is based on a 10% discount rate. No one is buying coal equities using a 10% discount rate. Coal companies can't even get debt at 10%!

    So I come back to the transaction price of Blackwater and Daunia of US$3.2b to US$4.1b. They'll get some premium, otherwise they just don't sell. But it ain't the insane premiums people are quoting.

    As I've said, I'll bake a gingerbread hat and eat it if they get US$1b or more for 20%.

 
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