technical advise....oilman1 are you there?

I am wondering whether these attempts at calculating the BOPD based on the 70% oil cut rate quoted in the announcement have any foundation. The reason being and I shall put the question out there.........
"the current flow back (not cut rate) is in its infancy, so is it likely that the flow back rate will increase and be a greater base for calculating the proposed 70% oil cut rate?"

Id love a technical response