NST 1.76% $16.79 northern star resources ltd

Thanks Box. My personal view is that Paulsons Ounces and...

  1. 672 Posts.
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    Thanks Box.

    My personal view is that Paulsons Ounces and Ashburton project ounces have different values.

    In terms of Australian gold sector average the number is approx $143 p/resource oz.

    Now I think you could argue Paulson ounces are worth more than that, maybe $250 (this is being bullish). So 318,000 Oz at $250 = $79,500,000

    That said, Ashburton Oz are tougher (being sulphide material) and the production potential will require significant additional capex. Therefore I would apply no more than $50 p/ounce to those ounces (at the moment).

    So 1,000,000 Oz at $50 = $50,000,000.

    Place the two together and you get $130,000,000 which is an average of $100 p/resource Oz. This is value, not suggesting it gets here - it will likely trade at some premium to this.

    Let you do the math with the rest of it. BTW this is not a harsh view, I think the company is very very well run, hence the premium it has achieved in the valuation. What we now have is the froth coming out and a reversion back to real value which I agree with other posters is closer to $0.60.
 
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