900m$ MC by end of 2020 is the BEST case scenario (even then it is a stretch). I base my prices off 3 cases, using bear, normal and bull - PE's of 20, 30 and 40. Given assumptions of 40T/wk (could very easily be 55T/wk by EOY if my capacity increases are accurate - but lets stick with 40 for simplicity).
That's revenue of $72.8m for 35$/kg (40,000 kg * 35 * 52) - I believe a profit margin of 35% would be conservative. That means $25.48m profit. For the PE scenarios above thats
Bear (20 PE) - $9.00 SP - $520m MC
Normal (30 PE) - $13.00 SP - $755m MC
Bull (40 PE) - $17.50 SP - $1,075m MC
Take this with a grain of salt as I'm a few beers deep. Let me know if I got something wrong.
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Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
77.5¢ | 77.5¢ | 77.0¢ | $3.292K | 4.272K |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 5273 | 77.0¢ |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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90.0¢ | 5250 | 2 |
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1 | 49122 | 0.760 |
1 | 24 | 0.730 |
1 | 42952 | 0.720 |
1 | 714 | 0.700 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.900 | 5250 | 2 |
0.950 | 5000 | 1 |
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1.050 | 5000 | 1 |
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