TLX telix pharmaceuticals limited

Telix ASX TLX Breaking News & Current Commentary, page-3204

  1. 2,501 Posts.
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    agree with all recent comments ... ( that i can see anyways)
    agree Mr The Point

    Telix is so under owned
    it has flown under radar ... anyone's guess why ?
    perhaps, as CB said, fundies just reluctant to get bitten chasing the tigers tail ... or something
    maybe they've been lazy with new IPO's
    ....

    of note

    Prior to NEU Releasing therapy results a year or more ago nowIt’s stock was also quiet and consolidating at $10 or less

    a few comments on 591 results due within 6-8 weeks


    Novartis has 100 % of this blockbuster market or $1.5b .. that’s USA dollars , but let’s just pretend it’s Aussie pesos , as the upside can just take care of itself


    Side effects put aside which in itself should provide a sizeable

    market for Telix


    But the OS was last recorded at 42.3 months as opposed to Novartis

    Pluvicto at 8-9 months

    Novartis therapy needs 6 shots six week apart, so 9 months

    Telix therapy is two shots 2 weeks apart


    In the event Telix and Pluvicto are merely similar OS , I say that because 42.3 months is just leaving Pluvicto in its dust - and appears way too good to be true ??? so say the experts in that discussion few weeks ago


    Then the market might be shared
    So that’s $750 m to Telix which is about equal to what Illuccix USA

    represents now or $20 to share price


    So a shared market in TLX 591 could mean another $20 to share price … might be $40 or more extra, if TLX beats Novartis or shows similar


    Then you’ve got now :

    approx $700-$800 m in cash and the other therapies

    Plus Illlucix ex USA

    Plus more imaging products

    Label expansions

    Plus people

    Plus plus plus …


    So in a game of probability, there must be a good chance of

    further success, the next 6 weeks could be the biggest in

    its short history

    The stock now sits about 20% off its high, so sits CSL /COH off their highs too
    after three long years of underperformance for the biotech sector, not that you would have noticed if buying TLX three years ago .
    prob suggests again, a good year is near


    lastly

    I will say CB arguably could have released news of late and labelled it price sensitive - clearly at least 20,000 further scans is significant

    CB could also have issued an upgrade which most are expecting… at anytime

    So why hasn’t he ?

    It’s dangerous to have an opinion in the stock market … but I’m suggesting he has always been three steps ahead in this game

    As the CEO, he doesn’t seem concerned

 
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