Think your scenario involves a quantum of dilution best avoided.
My notion is that SGH may reduce debt to below $500m in 2017 ( high but afordable) and 20% - 25% dilution in Spring 2018 ensures $400M indebtedness ( Ishall welcome that day) ....and a clear path to less than $350M in 2018 as SGH gets back on front foot and a $50M pa debt repayment schedule.
If so we can expect an SP several multiples of the current SP and it will be worth the wait.
Festina Lente.
Mel
SGH Price at posting:
26.0¢ Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held