The Bear Room, page-189

While tapping investors for cash is not unusual, the circumstances of this financing decision are arguably a little baffling.

More money, please

DroneShield requested an immediate halt to its shares this morning pending the release of details for a capital raising. At the time of writing, there is no further information about the amount of capital the company will seek to raise.

Strangely, DroneShield isn't anywhere close to running out of money.

My colleague, James Mickleboro, wrote last Monday about the company's financial standing. Drawing upon DroneShield's half-year update, Mickleboro noted a cash balance of $146 million with no debt or convertibles as of 30 June 2024.

Moreover, the company was cash flow positive for the 12 months ended 31 December 2023. Usually, there isn't a need to raise capital once a company is no longer burning through cash. The odd exception would be for major investments, such as an acquisition or an expansion of sorts.

One possible explanation could be inventory.

In DroneShield's 2Q24 results call conducted eight days ago, managing director Oleg Vornik stated:

We have our latest product, DroneSentry Mk 2, that we're seeing a very significant amount of interest in. Due to the product's complexity, for the immediate future, that product needs to be done in-house, while the majority of our other products are substantially done externally.

[…] We're scaling up our inventory acquisition, as we aim to have somewhere between $75 million and $100 million of inventory on the shelf for rapid orders as the business is scaling up.

These comments suggest the capital raise could be used to expand DroneShield's local facility, acquire inventory, or a combination of both. However, this has yet to be confirmed.

What does it mean for DroneShield shares?

The DroneShield share price is down roughly 49% from its high, which was set only a couple of weeks ago — as shown in the chart below. Unfortunately for shareholders, this means the dilutionary impact could be much higher if they don't participate in the offer.

Zoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALL

DroneShield PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALL17 Jan 2024→31 Jul 202429 Jan12 Feb26 Feb11 Mar8 Apr22 Apr6 May20 May3 Jun17 Jun1 Jul15 Jul29 JulJan '24Jan '24Mar '24Mar '24May '24May '24Jul '24Jul '24012www.********.au

If the company had announced a capital raising at the high of $2.72, it would have taken approximately half the number of new shares to raise the same amount of capital.