Didn't realise ~11% equated to a majority...but meh I've never been good at math.
The more recent 'spruiking' is based on guaranteed cashflows for the next two FYs.
Previous spruiking was undone by extreme volatilty in the government policy space and a misplaced reading of market conditions (i.e. that renewables were going to takeover and be the death of coal generators - this hypothesis has been proven wrong as plants come offline and place upward pressure on electricity prices, when replacement firming capacity has not been brought online fast enough).
AGL Price at posting:
$7.69 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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