Hi Spid,
I believe RNU and some of or other peers are using more optimistic pricing, which actually is highly likely to be achieved when we consider:
* Double digit year on year demand growth most likely commencing from 2022, depending on how fast all the current battery production lines that are under construction come online.
* China running out of Graphite with enough quality for LiB usage which means they will have to import greater tonnages = their input cost goes up
* Their current supply dominance will diminish, considering every major Car Manufacture outside of China is aiming for greater self reliance which includes Anodes procurements from domestic/ non China suppliers
* The customers that will remain using China stock will still start to demand more transparent and environmentally friendly products = cost will go up
Taking all the above into consideration there is a high probability that an RNU sale price of USD $4,312 (even higher for high quality products) is a real possibility, which will mean EGR will be a very profitable operation...I am almost convinced that we will have 2 * 20ktpa plants fully operational by 2024 (AUS & GER) and the 3rd one well on it's way (US) as I am convinced that everything will move at a much faster pace going forward as per my reasoning's in one of my previous posts.
So if we take an additional US$1100 per ton * 40ktpa = an additional US$44million Net Profit per year (Less Tax)
I better not share my valuation outcome using those figures...
I am very much looking forward to the next announcements re Anode Recycling and if they can share any figures.
That's what I like about EGR, profitable business using very conservative figures, huge upside if things go as predicted by almost all experts now.
All IMO
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1 | 59258 | 15.0¢ |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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1 | 20000 | 0.145 |
4 | 26784 | 0.140 |
3 | 144444 | 0.135 |
2 | 11519 | 0.130 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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0.165 | 4000 | 1 |
0.170 | 301215 | 2 |
0.175 | 25264 | 3 |
0.180 | 104000 | 2 |
0.185 | 7500 | 2 |
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