The CSL pattern, page-2

I bought CSL post the March crash because I felt it would probably resume its historical pattern of a steady increase. Price recovered rapidly and then for 6 weeks has consistently drifted lower. The retracement could be expected as a reaction to the overly quick recovery from March - but where will it stop? Will it slip back to the bottom of the channel (shaded on chart) around $265 or will price start to recover from the usual 50% retracement of the rally after the March low? The jury is out for me but price yesterday closed at that 50% retracement level which is also a level of natural support/resistance - so there is a chance that might stop the rot. The last two daily candles have been very negative. My money (literally) is on the recovery scenario but I'm wavering!