i did the form yesterday and came up with this long list of...

i did the form yesterday and came up with this long list of chances.......1,3,6,7,11,12,13,15,16,23

after re-doing the form again tonight i still find the same ten (i think thats a good thing) but can now sort of rank them.

SYT is clearly a cut above anything he's met before, and so i will place tris/first 4's accordingly, but 2 internationals do impress me, and so will also take some bets with these on win......

13 manighar ran a nice cup trial in the caulfield cup, already had 54kg so winning and copping a penalty was not desirable.

16 profound beauty ran a good race here 2 years ago, and then last start ran 2nd in the irish st leger to one time cup favourite sans frontiere.

i know theyve both drawn badly, but with 800 to go the gaps will appear as they always do and with some cover in the run i expect them to be flying home. both at good enough odds to just back straight out.