PLS 13.1% $2.67 pilbara minerals limited

Here is the worksheet - but don't show danwell.growth rate %...

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    Here is the worksheet - but don't show danwell.

    growth rate % ===>1.20 as per pop growthsee note at bottomstarting at 1.9 reducing to 1.2 to match US cars/1000ppl

    5.5% of total carsvariable market share as per next col sales market share %prev year + sales less 20 year old BEVs 2400 kWh per year per BEV
    yearPopulation millNSW grid supply TWhAustralias grid supply TWhcars growth rateregistered cars millcars/ 1000 pplnew car salesBEV sales
    registered BEVsGWh demand for BEVs
    2021



    20.10





    202226.01

    1.90 20.48 787 1,081,429 34,000


    202326.32 105 334 1.90 20.87 793 1,216,780 87,000
    180,000 432
    202426.64 106 338 1.88 21.47 806 1,180,850 82,660 7 262,660 630
    202526.96 108 342 1.86 21.87 811 1,202,837 156,369 13 419,028 1,006
    202627.28 109 346 1.84 22.27 816 1,225,006 232,751 19 651,779 1,564
    202727.61 110 351 1.82 22.68 821 1,247,350 311,837 25 963,617 2,313
    202827.94 111 355 1.81 23.09 826 1,269,864 393,658 31 1,357,275 3,257
    202928.28 113 359 1.79 23.50 831 1,292,544 478,241 37 1,835,516 4,405
    203028.61 114 363 1.77 23.92 836 1,315,384 565,615 43 2,401,131 5,763
    203128.96 116 368 1.75 24.33 840 1,338,376 655,804 49 3,056,936 7,337
    203229.31 117 372 1.73 24.75 845 1,361,517 748,834 55 3,805,770 9,134
    203329.66 118 377 1.71 25.18 849 1,384,799 844,727 61 4,650,497 11,161
    203430.01 120 381 1.69 25.60 853 1,408,216 943,505 67 5,594,002 13,426
    203530.37 121 386 1.67 26.03 857 1,431,761 1,045,186 73 6,639,188 15,934
    203630.74 123 390 1.65 26.46 861 1,455,428 1,149,788 79 7,788,976 18,694
    203731.11 124 395 1.63 26.89 865 1,479,210 1,257,328 85 9,046,304 21,711
    203831.48 126 400 1.62 27.33 868 1,503,099 1,367,820 91 10,414,125 24,994
    203931.86 127 405 1.60 27.77 872 1,527,089 1,481,276 97 11,895,401 28,549
    204032.24 129 409 1.58 28.20 875 1,551,171 1,551,171 100 13,446,571 32,272
    204132.63 130 414 1.56 28.64 878 1,575,338 1,575,338 100 14,987,909 35,971
    204233.02 132 419 1.54 29.08 881 1,599,583 1,599,583 100 16,500,492 39,601
    204333.41 133 424 1.52 29.53 884 1,623,896 1,623,896 100 18,041,729 43,300
    204433.82 135 429 1.50 29.97 886 1,648,271 1,648,271 100 19,533,631 46,881
    204534.22 137 435 1.48 30.41 889 1,672,698 1,672,698 100 20,973,578 50,337
    204634.63 138 440 1.46 30.86 891 1,697,170 1,697,170 100 22,358,910 53,661
    204735.05 140 445 1.44 31.30 893 1,721,677 1,721,677 100 23,686,929 56,849
    204835.47 141 450 1.43 31.75 895 1,746,211 1,746,211 100 24,954,898 59,892
    204935.89 143 456 1.41 32.20 897 1,770,763 1,770,763 100 26,160,046 62,784
    205036.32 145 461 1.39 32.64 899 1,795,323 1,795,323 100 27,299,565 65,519
    205136.76 147 467 1.37 33.09 900 1,819,883 1,819,883 100 28,370,613 68,089
    205237.20 148 472 1.35 33.54 901 1,844,433 1,844,433 100 29,370,319 70,489
    205337.65 150 478 1.33 33.98 903 1,868,964 1,868,964 100 30,295,779 72,710
    205438.10 152 484 1.31 34.43 904 1,893,466 1,893,466 100 31,144,060 74,746
    205538.56 154 490 1.29 34.87 904 1,917,930 1,917,930 100 31,912,201 76,589
    205639.02 156 496 1.27 35.32 905 1,942,345 1,942,345 100 32,597,218 78,233
    205739.49 158 501 1.25 35.76 906 1,966,702 1,966,702 100 33,196,100 79,671
    205839.96 159 507 1.24 36.20 906 1,990,991 1,990,991 100 33,705,815 80,894
    205940.44 161 514 1.22 36.64 906 2,015,201 2,015,201 100 34,169,846 82,008
    206040.93 163 520 1.20 37.08 906 2,039,323 2,039,323 100 34,633,831 83,121













    Note: figures in blue are actual - the red are from danwell.finn - the rest are my estimates/calcs



    Australia's grid supply based on the figure for NSW and prorated based on population 8.17 mill in NSW


 
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