So the best line i think i have heard in all this was the quote in a piece by other perspective who quoted someone who said ‘ meso went searching for india but found America ‘ !
if you think about it , while we didn’t get immediate validation and approvals , what we did get was a far far better understanding of how stem cells work ( the method of action which is an fda obsession ) and when they should be used . Before these trials it was thought that this was best used as a salvage therapy after everything else has failed , after steroids in gvhd and ards , after all sorts of therapies in chf, after biologics in rheumatoid arthritis etc etc . What we have in fact discovered that stem cells neeed to be used as a mainstream therapy sooner rather than later which massively increases the potential market for the product .
It is in fact , to use the expression in vogue , a platform technology for all sorts of inflammatory diseases crying out for a new therapy ..... complications from diabetes , crohns , ulcerative colitis , gvhd , pancreatitis , rheumatoid arthritis .. the list is endless as is the opportunity .
Just as important , with its massive patent portfolio , the blaster is the 500lb gorilla in this space . You just have to see that takeda found no way around meso’s patent portfolio and is having to pay royalties . It is going to be exceptionally difficult to get around their patents .
Just as important , meso has visibility to collapsing their cost of goods sold by over 80% over the next three years that will enable them to reduce prices and still have exceptional margins . I think people significantly underestimate the importance of this potential move to 3D bio reactors as it will enable meso to produce cells at an unprecedented scale and cost .
so for around 1bn dollars in market cap you can buy into a company that is the gateway to helping the largest market in the world in terms of unmet needs ( inflammatory disease ) with a cost of production that is a fraction of competitors with a patent portfolio that is the envy of the industry . You think Novartis is going to walk away from that ? Pull another one .....
while timings are uncertain , the science is not and the opportunity out on the horizon just got much much bigger ...
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So the best line i think i have heard in all this was the quote...
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