I'll reserve my final call till I see how ScoMo handles the next few weeks.
But two things they've got going for them is the people respect ScoMo, they dislike and distrust Shorten.
I don't think I've been wrong about a federal election since 1975. At that time I was so outraged at the usurping of the democratic process and I foolishly thought everybody else would be. Even joined the Labor party for a short time.
But now I think if ScoMo gets off & running he can pull it back from the cliff and what an achievement that would be.