Using the US city average (all items) CPI, adjusted to a 1982 -84 average base of 100, the average CPI readings were:
1)
for 1925 = 17.5
2)
for 1983 = 99.6
2)
for 2002 = 177.1
At the outbreak of war, they were:
1)
in 1914 = 10.2
2)
in 1939 = 14
3)
in 1950 = ~24
4)
in 1991 = 134.6
In each of the main fall dates, they were:
1)
in 1929 = 17.3
2)
in 1987 = 115.3
3)
in 2000 = 171.3
4)
in 2001 = 178.3
I would have thought, however, that a GDP adjusted DOW comparison would have made for a better comparison. An inflation adjusted DOW appears more like a sttistical aberration designed to establish an overbought position.
This may well end up being the case, but before determining this the same comparison should be made from a number of different perspectives (ie: FX, inflation to PPI rather than to CPI, earnings valuation, as well as to P/E, to GDP /GNP, etc). Only in this way can a meaningful and valid consideration of the current status of the DOW be determined.
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- The long term Dow chart I work off.
The long term Dow chart I work off., page-16
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