The long term Dow chart I work off., page-16

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    Using the US city average (all items) CPI, adjusted to a 1982 -84 average base of 100, the average CPI readings were:
    1)
    for 1925 = 17.5
    2)
    for 1983 = 99.6
    2)
    for 2002 = 177.1

    At the outbreak of war, they were:
    1)
    in 1914 = 10.2
    2)
    in 1939 = 14
    3)
    in 1950 = ~24
    4)
    in 1991 = 134.6

    In each of the main fall dates, they were:
    1)
    in 1929 = 17.3
    2)
    in 1987 = 115.3
    3)
    in 2000 = 171.3
    4)
    in 2001 = 178.3

    I would have thought, however, that a GDP adjusted DOW comparison would have made for a better comparison. An inflation adjusted DOW appears more like a sttistical aberration designed to establish an overbought position.

    This may well end up being the case, but before determining this the same comparison should be made from a number of different perspectives (ie: FX, inflation to PPI rather than to CPI, earnings valuation, as well as to P/E, to GDP /GNP, etc). Only in this way can a meaningful and valid consideration of the current status of the DOW be determined.


 
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