the main threat is china, page-26

Mudguy... thanks for mentioning Sudan. China has given (not sold) tons of weapons to Sudan government so they can mass murder innocent villagers in Dafur. As you say, Chinese control 100% of Sudan's oil production.
I hold some TGS. On balance reckon TGS will get the licence. But if company fails you can be sure the new owner will be a Chinese outfit with a couple of Congolese cabinet ministers in the background. Let's hope justice prevails. The Congolese people who are amongest word's poorest deserve Western investment which will not rip the country off in exchange for weapons.