Not much of a poster, more of a reader. For some unknown reason...

Not much of a poster, more of a reader. For some unknown reason I feel the need to share my thoughts to the world.
The binary outcome is nearing and at this moment my sentiment is more positive than negative because

• The founder should be fired up in 2024, with a new haircut to his base next year.
• New blood is coming onboard. If I was a new a director,I would be pumped, 534 days to get provisional TGA approval is not long.
• The other major shareholder is still there and may exert some more influence in the commercial space.
• The product results have been consistent.

On the other hand things will turn very negative if

• The dossier doesn't get submitted to the TGA before September 30 2024. (280 days away)
• The market cap is not approx 229m by November 30 2024 (340 days) The cost for more money will be prohibitive.
• There is a Black swan event during this time.
• The New Blood is not well received.
• Any major shareholder sells up.
• The product is proved not to be the liking of the regulators.
• Yada yada yada

Either way it's not going to be a ride for the feint hearted.