and here is the same reply I made to you back then
They clearly aren't an unbiased source of analysis, the result of their report would have been known before they even started
On their economic impacts analysis ...
1. Reduced spending in other ares - they write it claiming that it's likely that there will be net savings but in reality all of that spending has just been transferred from several areas into the NDIS and with the large expansion in people getting funding, those costs will have exploded (just look at all the providers of home care now who can't even provide home care for everyone due to a lack of workers to meet the huge demand)
2. Employment and Income - they mostly focus on all the new people employed by the govt. This is such a false economy, look at Victoria for example, they doubled the size of the public service and sure, the economy went gang busters for quite a few years but now the state is drowning in debt and is going to be forced to make very hard choices and likely facing many years of pain to come
3. They state the number of working age Australians with a disability is 2.1m. This is out of a total working age population of 17m(quick google for that, the number seems about right). That means nearly 12% of working age Australians have a "disability"? I don't believe that for a second!
This mob have no doubt produced reports showing how increasing welfare payments has a multiplier effect in the economy too, while it's true enough, it fails to look beyond the end of their noses and consider the sustainability of such a system. Just like increasing the size of the public sector can have a multiplier effect through the economy, govts don't create money, they have to take it from someone else(or borrow it) in order to spend it. We're already at the limits of what people will accept in terms of taxation, the govt is already spending more than it takes in, spending ever more is just not sustainable and will end in tears
Trying to expand the economy(beyond short term measures in recessions) with govt spending is a fools game
