THE ONLY WAY IS UP., page-1353

These are my estimates. Do your own research and don’t take this as a financial advise.

For FY22, BPT underlying EBITDA will be $1B. This is ignoring Otway Gas production increases this financial year.

Otway Gas project will contribute 5 mmboe production increase net to BPT. Production increase will start very soon. Could be January 2022. BPT EBITDA profit increase will be between $250m to $350m per year depending on price of condensates, LPG and wholesale gas.
So, BPT earnings next financial year will likely be higher.

Waitsia LNG project will contribute an additional 5.5 mmboe annual production increase starting around Oct 2023.
Adding to BPT EBITDA profit of another $250m to $350 m per year.

The BassGas project if it goes ahead will add another 3 mmboe per year of wet gas production in FY25 production. EBITDA of between $150m to $200m additional earnings per year.

Now the Western Flank oil production guidance this year is only 3.5 million barrels this year. Even if western flank oil production by another 1 million barrel per year , it will not be enough to reduce future earnings of BPT. And I don’t think Western Flank oil production will fall by much next year.