TBR tribune resources limited

For TBR shareholders--whom own 26m (43%) of RNDIf i am right...

  1. 80 Posts.
    For TBR shareholders--whom own 26m (43%) of RND

    If i am right today you sit on 50plus million dollars of RND shares---TODAY.

    Please vote right on the Liberia Iron ore Vend.

    My RND post.
    Sante, it is not only the 8m TBR shares, the size of the vend, into a company with at least some $130m in real assets, is the injustice and if the vend does go ahead , I believe a class action similar to AMP/GIO or even what is being contemplated with Lynas--see smh today--http://www.smh.com.au/business/legal-action-threat-rises-over-lynas-sale-20110417-1djon.html. Or there are many other similar cases by shareholders taking actions against the company and its directors.

    At least we know, and more importantly the lawyers know, there is money/aseets in the company to get recompensed or paid out, if we win.

    My estimate of Value for RND

    Assumption 1 PE of 1
    Tribune shares (12m) at today's price.
    Gold held at cost


    On the 1/10/10 RND released its annual report
    Page 5 states they produced 18,334 ounces of gold
    Page 23 states revenue from operations was $15.2m resulting in an NPBT of $5.6m

    So PE 1 npbt $5.6m
    TBR @ $2.64 $31.5m
    Au @ cost $7.5m

    Total $44.6m

    Around $0.70 fully diluted--including 4m options



    Now assume only a PE of 3---on what earnings should be if we sold all our gold as we produced it, TBR at enterprise value and gold at spot price.

    On the 1/10/10 RND released its annual report
    Page 5 states they produced 18,334 ounces of gold
    Page 23 states revenue from operations was $15.2m resulting in an NPBT of $5.6m
    Yet if they had sold all the gold at say $1400 per ounce then revenues would have been around $25.5m which should have resulting in NPBT being calculated at $15.9m.---the difference today is held in gold at COST.



    So PE 3 $47.7m
    TBR @ $5 $60m
    AU at spot $15m

    Total $122.7m

    Around $2.00 per share

    So easy to hide value by different--legal--accounting methods.

    If after the vend RND does not show such a proforma value ---on day 1--- I believe we will have a class action case.

    But time will tell.

    Also the market tells me there is something wrong, because everyone is stalemated, as you cannot sell because the stock is so cheap,---yet you cannot buy because if the deal goes ahead you are so diluted.


    PS I only used a PE of 3 when there are many example of valuations of other companies at a substantially higher PE than this.. DYOR


 
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Last
$4.73
Change
0.000(0.00%)
Mkt cap ! $248.1M
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No. Vol. Price($)
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