For TBR shareholders--whom own 26m (43%) of RND
If i am right today you sit on 50plus million dollars of RND shares---TODAY.
Please vote right on the Liberia Iron ore Vend.
My RND post.
Sante, it is not only the 8m TBR shares, the size of the vend, into a company with at least some $130m in real assets, is the injustice and if the vend does go ahead , I believe a class action similar to AMP/GIO or even what is being contemplated with Lynas--see smh today--http://www.smh.com.au/business/legal-action-threat-rises-over-lynas-sale-20110417-1djon.html. Or there are many other similar cases by shareholders taking actions against the company and its directors.
At least we know, and more importantly the lawyers know, there is money/aseets in the company to get recompensed or paid out, if we win.
My estimate of Value for RND
Assumption 1 PE of 1
Tribune shares (12m) at today's price.
Gold held at cost
On the 1/10/10 RND released its annual report
Page 5 states they produced 18,334 ounces of gold
Page 23 states revenue from operations was $15.2m resulting in an NPBT of $5.6m
So PE 1 npbt $5.6m
TBR @ $2.64 $31.5m
Au @ cost $7.5m
Total $44.6m
Around $0.70 fully diluted--including 4m options
Now assume only a PE of 3---on what earnings should be if we sold all our gold as we produced it, TBR at enterprise value and gold at spot price.
On the 1/10/10 RND released its annual report
Page 5 states they produced 18,334 ounces of gold
Page 23 states revenue from operations was $15.2m resulting in an NPBT of $5.6m
Yet if they had sold all the gold at say $1400 per ounce then revenues would have been around $25.5m which should have resulting in NPBT being calculated at $15.9m.---the difference today is held in gold at COST.
So PE 3 $47.7m
TBR @ $5 $60m
AU at spot $15m
Total $122.7m
Around $2.00 per share
So easy to hide value by different--legal--accounting methods.
If after the vend RND does not show such a proforma value ---on day 1--- I believe we will have a class action case.
But time will tell.
Also the market tells me there is something wrong, because everyone is stalemated, as you cannot sell because the stock is so cheap,---yet you cannot buy because if the deal goes ahead you are so diluted.
PS I only used a PE of 3 when there are many example of valuations of other companies at a substantially higher PE than this.. DYOR
For TBR shareholders--whom own 26m (43%) of RNDIf i am right...
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