FAR 2.02% 48.5¢ far limited

The true value of FAR, page-65

  1. kkw
    7,162 Posts.
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    jctl,

    I approach it another way, using the current market valuation of 8.2c and working backwards, came up with a more conservative figure for non TO and a TO situation.

    Of course, if we do PE, then your model will be the way to go. But unfortunately ATM, the market price is 8.2c. But I think i'll accept 40c.

    Column 1
    0 Currently before PE and SNE alone
    1  
    2 15% of 640 mil (2C)=96 mil B
    3 Recovery @ 17% currently
    4 SP 8.2c
    5  
    6 If Recovery is 40%
    7 SP should be (40/17)*8.2
    8 19.2c
    9  
    10 If the reserve upgrade gets to CN's prediction of 1 Bil
    11 Then we should be looking at a SP of (1000/640)*19.2
    12 30.1c
    13  
    14 This is just SNE alone.
    15 We now have A2 A5 and possible DJ and the rest as in Kenya etc.
    16 Just A2 and A5 is well worth a normal TO premium of 30%
    17  
    18 So, PC, for being such a nice guy, 40c now before the rest of the world gets to hear it. You better hurry, cause if you don’t we might decide to take your 35% off you at 2.20/B and you’ll be worse off.
    19  
    20 Oh, save cost and time, there is no need for due diligence, as you are already familiar with those figures.
 
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