The Upshot poll Clinton vs Trump, page-15

  1. 44,448 Posts.
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    Florida, Iowa, NC and Ohio are locks for Trump. Penn, Mich, Nev up for grabs, favouring Hillary at the moment. I'd give the rest to Hillary barring a Reaganesque landslide which is not completely out of the question.

    A couple of black swans to come.
 
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