Take off your red glasses: Russia is in deep do do. They have...

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    Take off your red glasses: Russia is in deep do do.

    They have invested heavily in pipelines to Europe and they are largely shut down. What extra oil they are selling to India/China is at a big discount and they are not getting USD for it.

    Seaborne oil/gas is difficult. There are not the LPG carriers to handle the lost flow from far more efficient pipelines. Even the more plentiful/available large oil tankers have enough work without risking their tankers being impounded breaking the blockade.

    Forget replacing tanks, the net profit to Putin [Gasprom has reported a loss] would barely replace artillery shells.

    Russia cannot win. This war is now where all wars end up: The obvious vanquished holds out for another month in the hope of inflicting enough losses on the [then] obvious victors to negotiate better terms.

    Examples:

    Japan knew absolutely that they had lost the war but believed that the US didn't have the stomach to suffer the losses invading the Home Islands. They must have tried this to protect the Emperor. Maybe the one intelligent thing MacArthur did was to guarantee his safety, not hang him.

    In the Great War [The war to end all wars] they cobbled together an Armistice that wasn't worth a pinch of dog shit. A war needs a victor or it remains "work in progress".

    With this in mind the US had bombed Nth Korea into the stone age but rather than face the [non]allies of the North, China/Russia they signed another armistice. How has that worked out.

    Vietnam was a defeat for the West. While human rights may not have been observed after the takeover, Vietnam is now doing its own thing and is welcoming of visitors who were once enemies.

    We can wring our hands but this war must come to a conclusion as it now appears a negotiated agreement [needed to happen months ago] is out of the question. A permanent cease fire could only be temporary, measured in a decade or less.
 
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