"as a DCF already contains discounts for these future events that haven't happened yet"
Fair point, but what are the discounts? What parameters are used in discounted valuations? For me, the best guess discount parameters should be based on the probability of an event, or series of events, occurring.
Pretty hard stuff that. Once again for me, the best parameters to use should be based on an analysis of historic data. And once again, pretty hard stuff that.
It really is a can of worms, but I will go with the below data that HT has provided.
[Whatever, I hope we can get 100 bucks, but within the next year or two, I doubt it.]
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